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Brazil Presidential Poll: Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro in Statistical Tie

Summary by The Rio Times
A PoderData/Aya poll puts Lula at 38% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 35% in Brazil’s first round, with a 45%-44% runoff: a statistical tie five weeks out. The post Brazil Presidential Poll: Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro in Statistical Tie appeared first on The Rio Times.

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The petist appears numerically in front of the main opponent in both scenarios, but the difference is less than the margin of error

·São Paulo, Brazil
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The PoderData/Aya national survey, released this Thursday (27), revealed that President Lula (PT) faces a scenario of technical ties in the 1st and 2nd round disputes against the main adversaries of his reelection project. In the 1st round scenario, Lula has 38% against 35% for Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), with the smallest difference recorded.

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro appear technically tied in the voting intentions for the second round of the presidential elections. The data are from the PowerData/AYA poll, released on Thursday, 27. Lula records 45% of the voting intentions. Flávio Bolsonaro has 44%. Whites and zeros add 9%. Other 2% of voters do not know who to vote for. + Understand what is West Politics PowerData/AYA heard 2.4 thousand peopl…

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Power SurveyData/Aya conducted from 23 to 26 August shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) technically tied in the first round scenario for the October presidential election. The petist records 38% of the voting intentions, before 35% of the senator. The difference between the two candidates is the lowest recorded since May. 15 days ago, Lula had 6 percentage points of advantage over Flávio; today, the d…

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Percentages of candidates oscillated 1 percentage point down in 15 days; difference remains within the margin of error

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Poder360 broke the news on Thursday, August 27, 2026.
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