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Japan headline inflation rate hits highest this year as energy prices bite
Services inflation rose 1.2% as firms passed on higher labor and import costs, reinforcing expectations the Bank of Japan will raise rates in September.
On Friday, Japan's core consumer price index rose 1.8% in July, matching forecasts as firms passed on rising import costs from a weak yen and Middle East tensions, strengthening the case for a Bank of Japan rate hike.
The Bank raised interest rates to a 31-year high of 1% in June, then kept policy steady in July while issuing its strongest warning to date about mounting inflation risks as prices remained below the 2% target.
An index excluding fresh food and fuel rose 1.9%, while service-sector inflation reached 1.2% from 1.1%, signaling firms passed on rising labor costs; goods prices climbed 2.7% year-on-year.
Sources told Reuters the BOJ is set to raise rates to 1.25% at its September 17–18 meeting, with the central bank considering more aggressive hikes thereafter from the current pace of roughly two times yearly.
Masato Koike, senior economist at Sompo Institute Plus, said "Core consumer inflation is likely to re-accelerate given renewed tension in the Middle East," adding that geopolitical volatility compounds price pressures from a weak yen.
The depreciation of the yen and the tensions in the Middle East push inflation in Japan in July, surpassing the target of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) for the seventh consecutive month if the effect of government subsidies on fuels is excluded. (ANSA)