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Italy sees 2025 deficit at around 3% of GDP, in line with EU rules

  • Italy expects its 2025 budget deficit to be around 3% of GDP or slightly below, following a 3.4% deficit in 2024.
  • Achieving a deficit-to-GDP ratio of 3% or lower could allow Italy to resolve the EU’s excessive deficit procedure by mid-2026, advancing the timeline by one year.
  • The government is finalizing a new multi-year budget plan aiming for GDP growth of 0.5 to 0.6% this year and about 0.8% in 2026.
  • Next autumn, Italy will evaluate activating the EU’s 'escape clause' to increase its deficit for defense spending without triggering penalties.
  • If successful, exiting the procedure would restore fiscal policy flexibility, allowing tax cuts and higher spending expected in the upcoming budgets.
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  • 71% of the sources are Center
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Market Screener broke the news in on Monday, September 29, 2025.
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