US EditionOECD Warns Iran Conflict Reverses 2026 Growth Outlook and Raises Inflation
The Iran conflict has erased a potential 0.3 percentage point growth increase for 2026 and raised G20 inflation to 4.0%, the OECD reports.
- On Thursday, the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development warned that the escalating Middle East conflict has knocked the global economy off a stronger growth path, erasing an expected upgrade.
- Fears of supply bottlenecks around the strategically critical Strait of Hormuz have triggered a sharp rise in energy prices, with a near-halt in shipments threatening to tighten global oil and gas supplies.
- Global GDP growth is now projected to ease to 2.9 per cent in 2026 before rising to 3 per cent in 2027, as soaring energy costs drive G20 inflation to 4.0 per cent this year.
- Economic prospects vary by region, with China's growth expected at 4.4 per cent in 2026, the United States moderating to 2.0 per cent, and Euro area output slipping to 0.8 per cent.
- OECD Secretary-General Mathias Cormann cautioned that the outlook remains highly uncertain, warning that an adverse scenario with elevated fuel costs could further lower growth and increase inflation.
18 Articles
18 Articles
The escalation of energy prices caused by the war in the Middle East will affect growth and inflation in the euro area in 2026, the OECD warned this Thursday in its updated forecasts.
OECD says there are three things policymakers can do to combat rising inflation due to the war in Iran
The Iran war has driven up gas prices in the US.Frederic J. BROWN / AFP via Getty ImagesThe OECD lifted its 2026 inflation projections on energy price spikes due to the Iran war. Oil prices have soared since the conflict began, with Brent above $100 a barrel. The OECD outlined three things policymakers can do to keep a lid on inflation. There are three things that policymakers can do to combat rising inflation driven by oil price surges, accordi…
OECD: Iran war erases global growth upgrade, fans inflation
The escalating conflict in the Middle East has knocked the global economy off a stronger growth path, the OECD warned on Thursday, as a near-halt in energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz threatens to push inflation sharply higher.
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 58% of the sources are Center
Factuality
To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium
