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Russia Lost Ground Despite Putin’s Claims of Major Advances, ISW Says

ISW said Russia lost a net 293.59 square kilometers since March, and September mapping showed an 80.81-square-kilometer loss.

  • On Thursday, President Vladimir Putin claimed at the Valdai Discussion Club that Russian forces brought 1,301 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory under control in September, alleging the figure was 2.5 times higher than previous months.
  • The Washington-based Institute for the Study of War recorded a net reduction of approximately 81 square kilometers in Russian-controlled territory during September, contradicting the Kremlin's narrative of accelerating advances.
  • During Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman sector of the Donetsk region, Gen. Andriy Biletsky, commander of the 3rd Army Corps, stated that Ukrainian forces reclaimed 176 square kilometers and captured more than 250 Russian soldiers.
  • ISW analysts accused the Kremlin of inflating battlefield advances to project an inevitable Russian victory and pressure Ukraine and its partners into accepting Moscow's demands.
  • Ukraine maintained strict operational secrecy regarding its counteroffensive, making it difficult for analysts to determine the full extent of territorial changes and complicating future month-to-month assessments of the war.
Insights by Ground AI

40 Articles

Lean Right

Vladimir Putin claims that Russia occupied 1,301 square kilometers of Ukrainian land in September.  A claim that, according to the think tank ISW, borders on hallucinations.  According to ISW's data, zero land gains were made – on the contrary, 80 square kilometers of land were lost. 

·Stockholm, Sweden
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Lean Left

Russia's leaders claim that his troops are advancing at a high pace. ISW, the US institute, now sharply contradicts this. However, it is unclear whether Putin is deliberately lying or being lied to by his subordinates themselves.

·Hamburg, Germany
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WestfalenpostWestfalenpost
+7 Reposted by 7 other sources
Center

The Kremlin ruler claims that the Russian army is moving forward. A US think tank calls this a loss of reality. Ukraine news on the blog.

·Essen, Germany
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The Kremlin ruler claims that the Russian army is moving forward. A US think tank calls this a loss of reality. Ukraine news on the blog.

·Berlin, Germany
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Lean Right

For the Ukrainian troops, the situation on the front has improved. Last month, they were supposed to have freed a little more territory than was lost to the Russian forces. Perhaps this is also known by Kremlin chief Putin - and for this, the war against civilians is escalating ever further.

Lean Left

ISW called Putin's words about seizing 1300 sq. km of Ukraine “hallucinations”, because the Russian Federation lost territoryAccording to ISW, in September the Russian Federation did not capture 1301 sq. km, but lost up to 175.18 sq. km of territory. The Kremlin's statements were named as part of Cognitive warfare.

·Kyiv, Ukraine
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  • 42% of the sources lean Left
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Kyiv Post broke the news in Kyiv, Ukraine on Friday, October 2, 2026.
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