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GOP Senator Says ACA Subsidies Likely to Expire, Predicts Premium Increases

Senator Roger Marshall warns that expanded Affordable Care Act subsidies will likely expire soon, causing premiums to rise amid partisan Senate disputes over extension plans.

  • On Thursday, the U.S. Senate will vote on both plans as expanded premium tax credits with temporarily expanded eligibility sunset at the end of this month.
  • Earlier this year the enhanced premium tax credits widened eligibility, prompting Senate Democrats to propose a three-year extension while Senate Republicans prefer direct payments to enrollees.
  • Senator Roger Marshall said Tuesday he doubts an extension will pass, warning it will take 60 votes on Thursday and expecting subsidies to expire despite Republican efforts to act.
  • Premiums will rise if the credits lapse, with spikes possible at the start of the new year, and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer warned last week that blocking relief means "no going back."
  • The Senate will adjourn over the holidays, compressing the window to act before credits expire as Senate Majority Leader John Thune pushes eligibility restrictions for tax credits to bar high earners from subsidies.
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Kansas Republican senator expects health insurance subsidies to expire

Senator Roger Marshall will be "very surprised" if a bill that extends some premium tax credits passes the chamber.

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Politico broke the news in on Tuesday, December 9, 2025.
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