Fitch's 2027 Forecast for Türkiye: Provides Figures for Inflation and the Dollar Exchange Rate.
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International rating agency Fitch Ratings, in its assessment of the Turkish economy, stated that the recovery in reserves and the tight policy mix have limited external risks, but drew attention to the persistence of high inflation and policy risks. The agency also shared its forecasts for Türkiye's current account deficit, inflation, and exchange rate.
Credit rating agency Fitch warned that high inflation and external shocks could trigger capital outflows, putting pressure on Türkiye's foreign exchange reserves and its "BB-" credit rating.
The international rating agency Fitch expects inflation in Turkey in 2026 to reach 30.5 per cent and the average annual rate of the dollar to reach 51 lira, ... . . . . 25.09.2026, PRIM
Fitch Ratings, however, stated that policy choices in a high-inflation environment, increased policy risks ahead of the upcoming elections, and the possibility of economic shocks triggering capital flight could affect foreign exchange reserves...
Fitch Ratings stated that the recovery in Türkiye's foreign exchange reserves has limited external risks. The agency warned that high inflation, pre-election policy risks, and capital outflows could put pressure on reserves.
Fitch, one of the world's leading credit rating agencies, announced in its report on the Turkish economy that there are risks that could negatively affect its credit rating. The agency predicted that the dollar could reach 60 lira by the end of 2027.
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