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Global Aid Cuts Could Lead to 9.4 Million Deaths by 2030, Study Projects
- On February 2, 2026, ISGlobal published a peer-reviewed Lancet study projecting 22.6 million extra deaths by 2030 in 93 countries, including 5.4 million children under five.
- After 2024's drop in international aid, researchers modelled the impact based on $32 billion in ODA cuts from 2024 to 2025, as the United States, United Kingdom, France, and Germany significantly reduced aid.
- ISGlobal and partner researchers analysed two decades of data across 93 countries with 6.3 billion people, finding ODA reduced child mortality by 39% and HIV/AIDS deaths by 70%, using microsimulation models.
- The Rockefeller Foundation responded that it will pursue country-led solutions focused on Sub‑Saharan Africa, with Dr. Rajiv J. Shah calling the findings 'a warning of the profound moral cost' and urging urgent action.
- A 10.6% yearly reduction could cause 14 million preventable deaths by 2030, according to Rasella, with current donor budget choices having irreversible consequences.
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93 Countries Worldwide at Risk of Losing Nearly 23 Million More People by 2030
ISGlobal, supported by Rockefeller Foundation, analyzed impact of severe global aid cuts in 38 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, 21 in Asia, 12 in Latin America, 12 in MENA, and 10 in EuropeNew study published in The Lancet finds slashing global…
Coverage Details
Total News Sources45
Leaning Left5Leaning Right7Center15Last UpdatedBias Distribution56% Center
Bias Distribution
- 56% of the sources are Center
56% Center
L 18%
C 56%
R 26%
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