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German Chancellor Merz’s conservatives lead in state election, forecast shows

  • On March 22, the ARD forecast showed the Christian Democrats at 30.50% and the Social Democrats at 27%, pointing to a likely victory for Chancellor Friedrich Merz's CDU in Rhineland-Palatinate.
  • Earlier this month, early projections showed the CDU at 30.80% and the SPD at 26% after a narrow March 8 loss in Baden‑Wuerttemberg, with Merz focusing on Ukraine support and energy shock risks.
  • Polls showed the AfD taking about 20% of votes, more than doubling its support since the last election, while the SPD managed only 5.50% in Baden‑Wuerttemberg.
  • Parties are expected to negotiate a Berlin‑style coalition, with CDU candidate Gordon Schnieder poised to replace sitting SPD premier Alexander Schweitzer, and losing control would deepen the SPD's crisis and pressure Merz's national coalition.
  • This was the second of five state elections this year, and CDU General Secretary Carsten Linnemann said the result showed strong backing for CDU/CSU and SPD, which could exceed 50%.
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92 Articles

The German Chancellor Friedrich Merz's party came in the lead on Sunday in Rhineland-Palatinate, ahead of the social democrats who had a disappointment in a fief, while the far right was moving towards a record score, according to first results.

·Paris, France
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The CDU with top candidate Gordon Schnieder overtakes the SPD in the state elections. The AfD wins 11.2 percent.

·Zürich, Switzerland
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Center

The conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party broke up the Social Democratic Party (SPD) this Sunday in its bastion of Rhineland-Palatinate, in southwestern Germany, where it had ruled for 35 years continuously, while the far-right more than doubled its votes in 2021 and became a third force.With 96% of the votes cast, the CDU obtained 30.9%, the SPD 25.9%, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) 19.6% and the Greens 7.8%.

·Madrid, Spain
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Lean Right

Juso-Chef Türmer attacks SPD-Top +++ Schnieder strives for black and red coalition +++ AfD achieves highest approval for young voters +++ The newsblog.

·Düsseldorf, Germany
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tz.detz.de
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
Center

First Baden-Württemberg, then Rhineland-Palatinate: After the elections, the SPD stands under Klingbeil on the abyss.

Center

It was just a regional election, but it has a signal effect for the federal government. Social democrats are losing again, the party is getting deeper and deeper into the crisis.

·Bonn, Germany
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merkur.de broke the news in on Saturday, March 21, 2026.
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