US EditionForecast Models Are Predicting a Bomb Cyclone Off the East Coast This Weekend
A rapidly intensifying coastal low could bring heavy snow, strong winds, and coastal flooding to the East Coast, with forecasts expected to clarify by Thursday evening.
- This weekend, forecasters are tracking a rapidly intensifying coastal low that StormTeam 5 described as a bomb cyclone expected to deepen Sunday into Monday off the East Coast.
- Model output shows a rapid pressure collapse, with pressure dropping from about 1004 millibars Saturday to 971 millibars 24 hours later, fueled by cold air supply, available moisture, and a full moon with higher-than-normal astronomical tides.
- Model guidance shows a split, with the European/ECMWF model holding the low offshore while the GFS model keeps it closer to the coast, producing three primary track solutions including the benchmark 4070 offshore reference.
- If the track is close to shore, coastal communities in Southern New England and the tri-state area could face heavy snow, damaging winds with gusts of 40 and 50 miles per hour, and high astronomical tides impacting Sunday and Monday.
- Forecasters caution that confidence remains low and forecasts may change, expecting clearer guidance by Thursday while monitoring three possible tracks over the next few days.
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Still New York is struggling with the consequences of winter storm "Fern", which cost at least ten people their lives, because the next bomb cycle is already racing towards the metropolis. The extreme weather in the USA could have consequences for Germany. Meteorologists say that.
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