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Fed’s preferred gauge showed core inflation at 3.0% in August, much lighter than expected

Consumer spending surged 0.9% as the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge stayed below economists’ forecast, keeping a rate hike in play.

  • On Wednesday, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core PCE inflation rose 3.0% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month in August, with headline PCE at 3.4%, falling below economist expectations of 3.7%.
  • The Bureau of Economic Analysis updated PCE inflation methodology retroactively to 2021, revising July's headline inflation down from 3.7% to 3.4% and core inflation from 3.3% to 3.0%, affecting historical readings used to assess inflation trends.
  • Consumers increased spending 0.9% in August, up from a downwardly revised 0.1% in July, demonstrating resilience despite consumer confidence plummeting to a near 12-1/2-year low on Tuesday.
  • Financial markets rallied Wednesday as the cooler-than-expected inflation report prompted investors to scale back October rate hike odds to 35% from 70% on Monday, according to CME FedWatch data.
  • While inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, New York Fed President John Williams said "there is no need for urgency" before the October meeting, signaling officials will await more data.
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Montana StandardMontana Standard
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
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Inflation is less than predicted

US ECONOMY

Center

The Dow Jones lost 0.86% and the expanded S&P 500 index fell by 0.25%. Only the Nasdaq index finished in the green (+0.24%). According to the PCE index published on Wednesday, prices rose by 3.4% over a year in the United States in August. The market was down by 3.7%. At the same time, US economic growth in the second quarter was significantly revalued upwards (+2.2% annualized, compared to +1.5% previously reported). "These reports have strengt…

·Issy-les-Moulineaux, France
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Les Affaires broke the news in Montreal, Canada on Tuesday, September 29, 2026.
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