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Federal shutdowns usually don’t do much economic damage. There are reasons to worry about this one

Economic growth could decline by about 0.15 percentage points per week during the shutdown, with up to 750,000 federal employees furloughed daily, officials said.

  • The federal government shutdown that began Wednesday risks greater economic disruption despite financial markets largely shrugging it off.
  • Shutdowns usually occur amid budget disagreements and historically cause minimal GDP impact unless extended for weeks, as noted by CBO Director Phillip Swagel.
  • This shutdown halted permitting, IRS income verification, and small business loans, while furloughing about 750,000 workers and disrupting national parks.
  • Economists estimate each week of closure could reduce Q4 GDP growth by 0.1 to 0.2 percentage points, while President Trump threatens permanent job cuts, which some say may be political bluster.
  • Though shutdowns have had little lasting economic impact, experts warn the current fragile job market and political impasse could deepen economic risks if prolonged.
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Federal shutdowns usually don't do much economic damage. There are reasons to worry about this one

Shutdowns of the federal government usually don’t leave much economic damage. But the one that started Wednesday looks riskier, not least because President Donald Trump is threatening to use the standoff to permanently eliminate thousands of government jobs.

·United States
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U.S. News broke the news in New York, United States on Tuesday, September 30, 2025.
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