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Exclusive-Fed’s Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Quell Inflation

  • St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Monday the Federal Reserve will likely need to hike interest rates further to combat inflation driven by strong demand and commodity price shocks beyond oil.
  • Persistent demand and recurring supply forces are keeping inflation risks elevated, with Musalem warning inflation will likely remain substantially above the 2% target in 18 months without further policy restraint.
  • The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index reached 3.7% in July, while Musalem views the current 3.75%-4.00% policy rate as "on the accommodative side," meaning it is not yet restrictive enough.
  • Investors currently expect three more quarter-point rate hikes by April, though Musalem said the labor market is "stable and balanced and around full employment," requiring no cooling of hiring.
  • The US-Israeli war with Iran has pushed fuel costs globally, while firms report "reporting sharply higher non-labor input costs, in fuel and other raw materials, transportation, insurance, and skilled labor" and plan price increases.
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FXStreet broke the news on Monday, September 21, 2026.
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