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Grim Reason RBA Given Rate Hike Green Light

Economists expect a 25-basis-point increase as inflation stays elevated and consumer confidence sinks to record lows, with 297,000 borrowers at risk.

  • On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia board is expected to lift the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 per cent, following a surge in household spending during March.
  • Australian Bureau of Statistics data shows household spending jumped 1.6 per cent in March, driven by rising oil prices stemming from the US-Iran war that has fueled broader inflation.
  • A 0.25 percentage point hike will increase monthly mortgage repayments by $91 on a $600,000 loan, while a Finder survey shows 297,000 mortgagors unable to meet repayments if rates rise further.
  • Critics warn the hike could trigger a "recession we don't have to have," while the ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating fell to 67.8, marking record low consumer sentiment.
  • RBA governor Michele Bullock has emphasized controlling inflation, though economists forecast further rate pain as pressure on household budgets is "unlikely to ease" in coming months.
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14 Articles

Sydney Morning HeraldSydney Morning Herald
+2 Reposted by 2 other sources
Lean Left

RBA expected to lift interest rates today

The Reserve Bank is expected to deliver another interest rates hike today.

·Sydney, Australia
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  • 56% of the sources lean Left
56% Left

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ABC Australia broke the news in Australia on Monday, May 4, 2026.
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