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Europe war-games life after Merz

The CDU’s national vote share has fallen to around 20%, while the far-right AfD has surged and economists warn growth remains near 0.12%.

  • German Chancellor Friedrich Merz described his party's showing in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania as a "disaster" last week, while his government withdrew a key tax proposal yesterday.
  • The CDU suffered crushing defeats in Berlin local elections and Saxony-Anhalt, where the AfD triumphed with 43.8%, leaving Merz with an approval rating of just 13%.
  • Economic competition from China has devastated manufacturing, with average annual growth slumping to just 0.12%, while the AfD's vote share almost doubled to 18.8% in western states like Baden-W.
  • At least two European capitals have held internal war games analyzing potential implications of his chancellorship ending, with Handelsblatt describing Merz as a "pseudo-dead man."
  • Over his 16 months in power, the national vote share of the CDU and its Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union, has fallen from 28.5% to around 20%.
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11 Articles

Lean Right

The European Union can no longer turn a blind eye to the problems faced by German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, writing on Friday Policy. "After successive humiliating electoral defeats in which the far right have made historic progress, and against the backdrop of internal divisions in the ruling social policy coalition, EU partners are beginning to prepare for a scenario in which the German Chancellor may lose his post or at least be distracted i…

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Lean Right

European leaders and diplomats have begun to plan their actions in the event of the possible resignation of German Chancellor Friedrich Mertz against the background of his political failures, wrote Politico. EU partners are looking at scenarios in which Chancellor FRG may lose his post in the coming months due to his party's defeat in the elections and internal divisions in the ruling coalition, writing Politico with reference to five diplomats …

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  • 50% of the sources lean Left, 50% of the sources lean Right
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Politico Europe broke the news in Brussels, Belgium on Friday, October 2, 2026.
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