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Flare-up in Tigray Highlights Risk of More War in Northern Ethiopia

Summary by Crisis Group
Crisis Group expert Magnus Taylor assesses rising tensions between Ethiopian state authorities and the Tigray region’s political leadership, and the risk these could tip into full-scale conflict

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Lean Left

Recent drone strikes and warm-ups between the Federal Army and the Tigray Defence Forces are alarming a possible resurgence of the war that ravaged the northern part of the country between 2020 and 2022. The point of no return has not been crossed.

·Paris, France
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Since 26 January 2026, new clashes have erupted in this region of northern Ethiopia, which experienced a bloody war between 2020 and 2022, and where the central government would like to set up authorities that would be favourable to it. All flights to the northern province have been suspended.

Three years after the end of the war that ravaged Tigray, new clashes between the Federal Army and the Tigray forces rekindle fears of military escalation. Recent fighting, reported strikes and suspension of flights fuel the concern of a population still deeply affected by the previous conflict.

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parismatch.com broke the news in on Monday, February 2, 2026.
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