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Elon Musk is betting Tesla’s future isn’t about cars at all

Tesla commits $20 billion and repurposes Fremont factory to build up to 1 million Optimus humanoid robots annually, targeting sales by end of 2027, amid declining EV profits.

  • On Wednesday, Tesla said it will convert the Model S and Model X production space at its Fremont factory into an Optimus factory, announced on its earnings call.
  • Weak EV sales and shareholder incentives pushed Tesla toward the Optimus bet after a record 9% 2025 EV sales decline and a pay plan approved late last year.
  • Technical hurdles include finalizing the arm and hand design as Tesla struggles with hardware, and internal production targets fell from at least 5,000 to 2,000 and were lowered again.
  • Musk projected Optimus could generate $10 trillion, with analysts noting Tesla's potential internal and external margins, raising stakes for shareholders' pay plan.
  • Amid rising competition from established robotics firms, experts estimate the humanoid market at $370 billion to $5 trillion, with broad deployment expected in at least a decade.
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19 Articles

Lean Right

Elon Musk initiates the biggest strategy change in Tesla's company history. It's not about cars, but about AI, robotics, autonomy and popcorn.

·Düsseldorf, Germany
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Tesla hires his two expensive car models. The future, says Elon Musk, belongs to robots, AI and self-driving cars without a steering wheel. Can this work well?

·Munich, Germany
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Sueddeutsche Zeitung broke the news in Munich, Germany on Thursday, January 29, 2026.
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