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El-Sayed lead for Michigan Senate grows, helped by views of Trump

The poll of 500 likely voters found 48% are voting to change Trump’s direction, while El-Sayed leads Rogers 47%-40%.

  • On Tuesday, a Suffolk University poll found Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leading Republican Mike Rogers 47%-40% in Michigan's Senate race, with 500 likely voters surveyed Sept. 16-20 indicating the contest is increasingly competitive.
  • Nearly half of likely voters said they seek to change the direction President Donald Trump is leading the nation, as his approval rating in Michigan has sunk to 31%, swinging independent voters away from Republicans.
  • With 86% of Michiganders calling the economy fair or poor, voters ranked inflation as the top issue; additionally, 67% expressed concern about tariffs on Canadian cars, while 60% oppose data center development.
  • Backed by 88% of Democrats and 72% of Black voters, El-Sayed would become the first Muslim senator if elected, though Vice President Vance has publicly criticized the candidate.
  • Independent analysts now put Senate majority odds around 50-50 in a landscape 'markedly different from the recent past,' making El-Sayed's campaign a critical test for the GOP and Trump's standing in Michigan.
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USA Today broke the news in New York, United States on Tuesday, September 22, 2026.
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