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Ancient Coral Just Revealed El Niño Is Stronger Now Than at Any Point in 1,000 Years

Researchers found the strongest El Niño variability in 1,000 years, and the modern jump exceeded natural climate simulations, they said.

  • On Thursday, a study published in the journal Science revealed El Niño events became 40% stronger over the past 40 years compared to the pre-industrial era, based on coral records from the Galápagos Islands.
  • Professor of Earth and Environmental Science Julia Cole and her team reconstructed 1,000 years of El Niño history by analyzing 28 coral records from 13 colonies across the Galápagos chain.
  • Modern ocean temperature swings in the region measured about 36.5 percent stronger than during the pre-industrial period, with the sharpest increase occurring within the last several decades.
  • Cole attributes this intensification to human-caused global warming, stating, "We know what causes the warming, and it's our use of fossil fuels."
  • Stronger El Niño patterns lead to amplified climate extremes including floods and droughts, which experts warn will likely continue to break records as global temperatures rise.
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According to researchers, an El Niño of historical proportions is forming in the tropical Pacific. Some forecasts indicate that this episode can cause an increase in global temperatures to 1.7 or 1.8 degrees above the pre-industrial level.

·Lisboa, Portugal
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SciencePost broke the news on Sunday, August 30, 2026.
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