El Niño has officially begun and threatens record global heat, US scientists say
Forecasters say there is a 63% chance the event reaches very strong levels by winter, raising the odds of global heat and extreme weather.
- On June 11, federal forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration officially declared that an El Niño event is underway in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, marking a long-anticipated global climate shift.
- An El Niño pattern emerges when tropical trade winds weaken, allowing warmer-than-normal ocean temperatures to build in the eastern Pacific; NOAA data shows current water temperatures averaging 0.7 degrees Celsius warmer than normal, signaling a weak event is currently underway.
- Climate Prediction Center forecasters anticipate this event will strengthen significantly by fall, with a 63% chance of becoming "very strong" during the upcoming winter; only seven such events exist in the record since 1950.
- While El Niño often brings wetter conditions to the Southeast and Southern California, it also poses risks including potential wildfire danger in Hawaii and prolonged drought across the Northwest, northern Plains, and Upper Midwest.
- Despite concerns, climate center researcher Michelle L'Heureux noted potential benefits including a likely reduction in Atlantic hurricane activity and lower heating bills for the northern United States, with this cycle providing six months of planning advance notice.
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204 Articles
I spent 8 years flood-proofing a city. Capital markets are running out of time to take El Niño seriously
Federal forecasters put the odds of a strong El Niño this winter at roughly two in three, and the odds of one matching or exceeding the record 2015 event at better than one in three. That forecast is worth taking seriously. But the bigger story is that resilience infrastructure has quietly become a distinct investment category — and capital markets have been slow to treat it that way. A strong El Niño will make ignoring that gap even more expens…
Global climate has shifted into El Nino pattern
Chad Pater at CHS Hedging said, “NOAA has confirmed that the global climate has shifted into an El Niño pattern, a phenomenon that typically brings more favorable weather conditions for row crops in the U.S.”
Cyclic warming of the equatorial Pacific in front of the coasts of South America that influences the climate of half the world
Many meteorologists around the world have long been concerned about the onset of El Niño, and now these concerns have been proven true. The US agency NOVA has officially confirmed that El Niño has become active in the Pacific Ocean. This island phenomenon has profoundly altered the global weather system, affecting weather patterns in various countries.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the United States (NOAA) confirmed the triggering of the El Niño climate phenomenon in June 2026, warning that it could evolve into an episode "super-impact with major global impact. Scientists estimate a probability of 63% that the event will become one of the most intense recorded since 1950. Article El Niño officially started, comes the climate hell. What the phenomenon means for Europe, …
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