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UK pay growth slows to 3.9% before crunch interest rates decision

  • On Tuesday in LONDON, official data showed Britain's unemployment rate remained steady at 4.9% in the three months to July, days before a Bank of England interest rate announcement.
  • Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, grew by 3.5% for the three months to July compared with the same period in 2025, The ONS reported, matching economist forecasts.
  • Job vacancies fell to 702,000 from 706,000 in the three months to August, marking the lowest reading since April 2021; small businesses cited high employment costs as a constraint.
  • Investors on Monday priced a roughly one-in-three chance of a quarter-point rate hike by The BoE on Thursday, reflecting market expectations ahead of the decision.
  • The BoE is monitoring how energy prices driven by the Iran war affect inflation, while the Monetary Policy Committee faces expectations of rate hikes in November and December.
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The UK National Statistics Office (ONS) has released September's labor market data. According to the data, covering the May-July period, the unemployment rate in the country was 4.9%. Market expectations were for the rate to rise to 5%. Thus, the unemployment rate remained below expectations and stayed at the same level as the previous period.

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Reuters broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Tuesday, September 15, 2026.
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