Euro Zone Consumers Nudge up Inflation Expectations, ECB Poll Shows

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12-month inflation forecast rises to 3%, while expectations for 3 and 5 years ahead climb to 2.9% and 2.5%, respectively

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Consumers predicted inflation in the euro area in August in the next 12 months of 3%, compared to 2.9% of the previous July survey, according to the sample that the European Central Bank (ECB) made in August and which was published today.

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Average expectations for price growth over the next 12 months in the euro area rose to 3% in August 2026, before 2.9% in July, while projections for inflation over a three-year horizon also advanced, from 2.7% to 2.9%, and the outlook for five years rose from 2.4% to 2.5%. Uncertainty about inflation expectations for the next year decreased, although it remained above the level seen before the start of the conflict in the Middle East, with lower…

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Inflation expectations of eurozone households rose further in August, which could force the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise interest rates again.