Danish Intelligence Warns of Rising Russian Hybrid Threats While Calling Direct NATO Invasion 'Highly Unlikely'
The agency said more frequent sabotage, cyberattacks and deniable strikes could divert European support for Ukraine and test NATO’s response, with 1 attack possible.
- On Thursday, the Danish Defence Intelligence Service warned of a "low but growing risk" that Russia could conduct limited military attacks against NATO countries bordering Russia in the coming months.
- Russia has "intensified its use of sabotage, destructive cyber attacks and is attacking targets in Europe with drones," as the agency concluded that hybrid war is escalating amid battlefield losses and economic pressure.
- Potential scenarios include isolated infrastructure strikes, false-flag operations using Ukrainian-made drones, or deploying a "limited number of military forces, possibly without national insignia," into border territories.
- NATO's Supreme Allied Commander Europe, U.S. Air Force Gen. Alexus Grynkewich, urged alliance members to remain "calm and confident" regarding preparedness, while the Russian Embassy in Copenhagen rejected the assessment as unsupported.
- Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova warned that further escalation in the Baltic region would provoke a "decisive and destructive" response from Moscow, amid aggressive rhetoric from state-controlled media.
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The Danish secret service warns of a growing risk: Russia could only attack a NATO state in the coming months.
The Danish secret service warns of a growing risk: Russia could only attack a NATO state in the coming months.
For the intelligence of Copenhagen a real invasion remains unlikely, but the possibility of limited attacks and operations under false flag grows. While Moscow looks suspiciously at the European armament
Russia may intensify hybrid warfare against NATO in coming months, Denmark warns; Putin rejects claims
For now, the Danish assessment distinguishes between increased hybrid activity, which it expects in the coming months, and a full-scale attack on NATO, which it considers highly unlikely.
Danish intelligence warns Russia could attack NATO
Denmark says there is a low but growing risk that Russia could carry out a limited military attack against one or more NATO countries bordering Russia, potentially within the coming months. The post Danish intelligence warns Russia could attack NATO first appeared on UK Defence Journal.
Intel: ‘Russia could make a limited military attack on one of NATO’s members within months’
DDIS director Thomas Ahrenkiel says the goal would be to divide NATO, not conquer territory, and the agency sees no sign that Russia is preparing the kind of full-scale invasion that would take at least six months to set up. It does expect more dangerous sabotage and destructive cyberattacks on critical services.
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