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Credit agency says surging global oil prices will help N.L.'s bottom line
DBRS Morningstar says each US$1 increase in oil prices could add about C$33 million in revenue and help offset the province’s $688 million deficit.
Surging global energy prices driven by the Iran war could help Newfoundland and Labrador reduce its $688 million budget deficit, according to DBRS Morningstar.
Premier Tony Wakeham's recent budget assumes an oil price of US$79 per barrel, yet prices have hovered around US$110 for weeks; officials estimate every extra dollar generates about C$33 million in revenue.
Regulators reported that Newfoundland and Labrador produced nine million barrels of oil in March, about 14 per cent more than last year, with a total value of about $1.3 billion.
Travis Shaw, a senior vice-president at DBRS, noted the budget reiterates the PC Party's priorities while projecting ongoing debt, though he added, "Newfoundland's exposure to global commodity prices presents material fiscal upside."
The province's budget excludes potential revenue from a memorandum of understanding with Quebec regarding power from the Churchill Falls hydroelectric plant in Labrador, as the two governments have not yet ratified the agreement.
One of the world's largest rating agencies believes that the surge in global energy prices associated with the conflict with Iran could help reduce Newfoundland and Labrador's deficit.