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Consumer prices rose 0.4% in August, as expected; core inflation was higher than estimated

Core inflation rose 0.3% and traders pushed the odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike to 90%, according to CME FedWatch.

  • On Friday, the Labor Statistics bureau reported consumer prices rose 0.4% in August, pushing the 12-month inflation rate to 3.4%, matching Dow Jones consensus expectations.
  • Gas prices surged 3.9% over the month, driving the increase as the Iran war limited global oil supply, keeping inflation above the Federal Reserve's 2% annual target.
  • Core inflation posted a 0.3% monthly gain, running hotter than expected. The 3.4% annual inflation rate still outpaced average worker paychecks, which grew 3.1% over the same period.
  • The Fed also monitors the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, which remains above the central bank's 2% annual target. This metric signals whether underlying price pressures are easing amid persistent supply shocks.
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Reuters broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Friday, September 11, 2026.
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