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Can Democrats Flip the Senate? What the Data Shows

Kalshi’s traders now give Democrats a 53% chance to win Senate control as polling and race ratings also improve.

Summary by Newsweek
Markets, polling and race ratings point toward Democrats, but six battlegrounds will determine control of the chamber.

Bias Distribution

  • 34% of the sources lean Left, 33% of the sources are Center, 33% of the sources lean Right
34% Left

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Newsweek broke the news in New York, United States on Wednesday, September 16, 2026.
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