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German Inflation to Stay High, Growth Has Slowed, Bundesbank Says
The central bank said weaker exports, low Rhine water levels and higher energy costs will keep inflation elevated and slow activity before a year-end recovery.
The Bundesbank reported on Monday that the German economy lost momentum in the third quarter, with gross domestic product expanding only "slightly" after previous 0.3% growth.
Weaker exports, consumption, and droughts weighed on activity, while short-term factors like low water levels in the Rhine river further restricted economic output.
Inflation recently stood at 2.9%, and The Bundesbank warned it will "remain elevated for the time being" due to high energy costs linked to the Iran conflict.
High living costs and a weak economy have become significant political issues, fueling voter dissatisfaction with mainstream parties across Europe.
Business surveys suggest a brighter outlook for manufacturing, though healthcare reforms due at the start of 2027 are expected to temporarily lift inflation early next year.
High energy prices, low consumption and the consequences of the low water burden the economy. However, the Bundesbank is more optimistic for the fourth quarter.