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Bulletin Focus: Market Predicts New Selic Cut This Week and Inflation Below 5%

Summary by Agenda Do Poder
Analysts consulted by BC point to interest reduction expectations to 13.75% per year and project HICP by 4.9% in 2026; GDP growth forecast declines to 1.89%
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The financial market expects that the Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) will reduce by 0.25 percentage point (p.p.) the basic interest rate (Selic) in a meeting scheduled for this week. Currently, the rate is 14%, and should fall to 13.75%. The projection consists of the Bulletin Focus, released on Monday (14) by the Central Bank. For analysts, Selic should close 2026 in these same 13.75%. The next meeting of the Copom to define the rate will be…

·Quadra, Brazil
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The economists heard by the Central Bank kept the expectation of a new cut in the interest rate at the meeting of... The post Economists predict inflation below 5% at the end of the year and cut at Selic this week appeared first in Bem Paraná.

Analysts consulted by BC point to interest reduction expectations to 13.75% per year and project HICP by 4.9% in 2026; GDP growth forecast declines to 1.89%

On Friday (11), the IBGE reported that the IPCA dropped 0.32% in August, in the first monthly deflation in one year, under the impact of the fall in electricity, food and fuel costs.

·São Paulo, Brazil
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The economists listened to by the Central Bank kept the expectation of a new cut in the interest rate at this week's Copom (Monetary Policy Committee) meeting and expect inflation to end the year below 5%. Read more (09/14/2026

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Folha de S.Paulo broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Monday, September 14, 2026.
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