Lula and Bolsonaro Deadlocked as Vote Nears
- On Monday, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a statistical tie for a simulated runoff, with Lula at 46% and Bolsonaro at 45%.
- If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote on October 4, the top two candidates advance to an October 25 runoff. Lula leads the first-round field at 40% compared to Bolsonaro's 37%.
- Conducted from September 18 to 20, the survey of 2,006 people includes first-round candidates Augusto Cury at 6%, Ronaldo Caiado at 5%, and Renan Santos at 3%.
- A September 14 survey showed Lula leading Bolsonaro 47% to 46%, indicating the current narrow advantage remains within the poll's 2 percentage point margin of error.
- Next month's election occurs amid simmering Supreme Court tensions that weigh on the race, with voting scheduled for October 4 and a potential runoff on October 25.
21 Articles
21 Articles
Lula and Bolsonaro Deadlocked as Vote Nears
“President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro are neck and neck ahead of Brazil’s election, a new poll showed, as a simmering Supreme Court crisis weighs on the race,” Bloomberg reports. “Lula would win 46% to Bolsonaro’s 45% in a runoff scenario, according to a BTG/Nexus survey published Monday. The advantage was within […]
Brazil's Lula would beat Bolsonaro by 1 point in runoff, suggests BTG/Nexus poll
SAO PAULO, Sept 21 - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro remain statistically tied in a simulated runoff ahead of next month's election, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed on Monday, with the leftist incumbent holding a narrow lead within the survey's margin of error. Read more at straitstimes.com.
The petist had downward oscillations in comparison with the previous week's scenarios, but he follows numerically ahead of the main opponent
A September 14 poll showed Lula leading Bolsonaro by 47% to 46%.
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) remain technically tied in a possible second round dispute, according to BTG/Nexus research released on Monday, 21. The petist has 46% of the voting intentions, and Flavio, 45%. Whites, nulls or voters who did not choose either amount to 7%, while [...] The post In the second round, Lula has 46% and Flavio 45%, technically tied, says BTG/Nexus first appeared in Tribuna…
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro remain statistically tied in a hypothetical second-round election scenario ahead of the presidential race… Brazil: Lula's one-percentage-point lead over Bolsonaro in runoff election shows new poll - ΙΝΑΦΤΕΜΟΠΟΡΙΚΙ
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Bias Distribution
- 34% of the sources lean Left, 33% of the sources are Center, 33% of the sources lean Right
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