Skip to main content
See every side of every news story
Published • loading... • Updated

Brazil's Lula Widens First-Round Lead, Remains Tied with Bolsonaro in Runoff Polls

  • On Monday, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula leading the first-round election with 42% of the vote, while remaining statistically tied with Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a simulated runoff.
  • The leftist incumbent widened his lead from a previous survey that had him at 40% to Bolsonaro's 37%, though a September 21 poll showed a tighter 46% to 45% runoff margin.
  • Nexus surveyed 2,000 people between September 25 and 27, yielding a margin of error of 2 percentage points. Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado each polled at 5%, while Renan Santos held 4%.
  • If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 first round, the two frontrunners will advance to a runoff election scheduled for October 25.
  • Lula's narrow runoff lead of 46% to 44% remains within the survey's margin of error, underscoring the competitive nature of Brazil's election ahead of next month's voting.
Insights by Ground AI
Podcasts & Opinions

110 Articles

Lean Left

Flavio Bolsonaro said on Thursday that he would not take part in a television debate three days before the first round, denouncing a "censorship" of electoral justice. For his part, Brasilia called for an investigation into the alleged use of US public funds to promote a "extreme right-wing agenda"Between polemics about Brazil's patron saint and television debate cancelled at the last minute, the campaign for the first round of the presidential …

·Geneva, Switzerland
Read Full Article
Lean Right

Flávio Bolsonaro, who previously confirmed his attendance at a Globo TV presidential debate, cancelled and will do another activity.

·Mexico
Read Full Article
Center

Former President Jair Bolsonaro's son made the announcement two hours before the scheduled start of the debate on TV Globo, the country's largest network.

·Warsaw, Poland
Read Full Article
berlingske.dkberlingske.dk
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
Lean Right

Brazil's president won't “listen to nonsense” for debate. His main opponent has agreed to participate.

·Copenhagen, Denmark
Read Full Article

President Lula da Silva is just ahead of the ultra-right challenger Bolsonaro before the first round of polls. Most Brazilians leave the duel cold – although there is more at stake than just one office.

·Munich, Germany
Read Full Article
Think freely.Subscribe and get full access to Ground NewsSubscriptions start at $9.99/yearSubscribe

Bias Distribution

  • 56% of the sources lean Right
56% Right

Factuality Info Icon

To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium

Ownership

Info Icon

To view ownership data please Upgrade to Vantage

CNN Brasil broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Monday, September 21, 2026.
Too Big Arrow Icon
Sources are mostly out of (0)

Similar News Topics

News
Feed Dots Icon
For You
Search Icon
Search
Blindspot LogoBlindspotLocal