Lula, Bolsonaro Neck-and-Neck in Brazil Runoff Polls Ahead of Election
The BTG Pactual/Nexus survey showed Lula ahead 47% to 46% in a runoff, with a 2-point margin of error.
- On Monday, Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula regained a slim lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a simulated runoff for next month's election, according to a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll, though the race remained statistically tied.
- In the first-round scenario, Lula leads with 42% of the vote while Senator Flavio Bolsonaro follows at 37%, representing a shift from the previous survey where Lula polled at 39% and Bolsonaro at 35%.
- Should no candidate exceed 50% on October 4, a runoff occurs October 25, where the poll indicates Lula would secure 47% to Senator Flavio Bolsonaro's 46%.
- Nexus surveyed 2,003 people between September 11 and 13, though the race remains statistically tied given the poll's 2 percentage point margin of error.
- Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of President Jair Bolsonaro, is considered market-friendly, and Brazilian assets rallied last week when he polled ahead of Lula for the first time since March.
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Lula regained a close advantage over former President Jair Bolsonaro's eldest son in a BTG Pactual/Nexus survey, while a separate poll from Quaest commissioned by Globo showed that the legislator had a numerical advantage for the first time.
Brazil's Lula regains narrow edge over Bolsonaro in BTG/Nexus poll
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva regained a slim lead over right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a simulated runoff for next month's election, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed on Monday, though the race remained statistically tied.
Elections in Brazil: Survey Gives 47% to Lula and 46% to Flávio Bolsonaro in a Possible Second Round
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva regained a slight advantage over Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a possible second round of the October presidential elections, according to a new BTG Pactual/Nexus poll released this Monday.
The petist reversed the trend of the previous week's uprising and now appears numerically ahead of the main opponent in the direct strike
First lap gives a different scenario and the number of undecided begins to gain relevance
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 57% of the sources lean Right
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