Brazil's Flavio Bolsonaro Turns Scandal Into Poll Gains
Polls show Flavio Bolsonaro narrowing Lula’s lead as economic unease and a corruption scandal reshape the race, with 2 surveys showing a statistical tie.
- On Wednesday, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg survey of 5,015 voters conducted September 17–22 showed President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro statistically tied ahead of the October 4 first-round election.
- If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes on October 4, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25, creating pressure for high turnout in the first round.
- The survey places Lula at 45.8% against 43.4% for Bolsonaro in a first-round scenario, while a simulated runoff shows the candidates tied at 47.7% and 47.4% respectively, within the 1 percentage-point margin of error.
- Analysts warn that a crisis involving Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes has reinforced institutional distrust, which has disproportionately affected Lula's campaign as he faces a challenge from the son of jailed former President Jair Bolsonaro.
- Mounting economic unease, including reports that income growth has lagged behind living costs, complicates the race as Lula defends his record and Flavio positions himself as the primary alternative.
131 Articles
131 Articles
Lula or Bolsonaro as president? Brazil gears up to vote
Brazilians go to the polls on October 4. The front-runners are multilateralist incumbent Lula da Silva and former President Jair Bolsonaro's son, Flavio, who wants to bring Brazil closer to the US and away from China.
El Periódico
Within 10 days of the first turn of the Brazilian elections, the latest poll by the consultant Datafolha shows that the polarization between the main candidates, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, and the ultra-right senator, Flávio Bolsonaro. Lula has an intention of voting of 40%, four points more than the son of ex-mandatario Jair Bolsonaro, who serves in his house in Brasilia the sentence for attempted coup d’état. However, in the second t…
Nine days from the vote, neither Brazilian front-runner comes close to 50%
Neither of Brazil's two leading presidential candidates is approaching the threshold needed to win outright on October 4, according to the latest Datafolha poll, which puts President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on 40% of voting intentions and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro on 36%.
A close race in Brazil, with Lula maintaining a narrow two-point lead over Flavio Bolsonaro. Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is still two percentage points ahead of his main rival, Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, according to a new Datafolha poll released Thursday. 47% for Lula, 45% for Bolsonaro In the event of a second round of presidential elections in October, Lula has 47% support, while Flavio Bolsonaro is behind with 45%.
Rio de Janeiro, Sep 24 (EFE).- President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, favorites in the presidential elections of October 4 in Brazil, remain in technical tie for the first round ten days of the elections, according to the latest poll of the firm Datafolha released on Thursday. [...] The entry Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro remain in technical tie for the first round in Brazil was first published in HolaNews.
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