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Russia's 8 Scenarios for How Ukraine War Will End After CIA Director's Visit

Summary by Daily Express
US President Donald Trump pressuring both Moscow and Kyiv for a deal is the most likely scenario.

9 Articles

Lean Left

Which scenario for ending the war in Russia is considered most likely? Analysts at Russia's Sberbank have assessed eight possible scenarios for ending the war against Ukraine. The chance of Russia's military victory is only 7%. This is stated in the analytical note "Scenarios for Achieving Peace in the Russia-Ukraine Conflict," RBC-Ukraine reports, citing Black Mirror. The document was allegedly obtained from correspondence between Sberbank CEO …

Left

The hacker group Black Mirror published a screen shot of an analytical note by Sberbank listing eight scenarios for the end of Russia's and Ukraine's great war. The document is dated April 2026 — that is, it was prepared before the attack by the U.S.S.A. on oil refineries and logistics facilities was intensified. According to the hackers, the analytical note was received from correspondence between the chairman of the Board of Staff of Sberbank,…

·Riga, Latvia
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The hacker group Black8Mirror has discovered fragments of the document, like German Gref. On the new Russian side, all scenarios see the completion of the war — from freezing the front to the Russian Federation's victory and the “black swans”.

·Kyiv, Ukraine
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The hacker group Black Mirror published screen shots of documents with eight possible scenarios for the end of Russia's war against Ukraine.

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8 scenarios of the war in Ukraine: the Russian Federation estimated the probability of victory of both sides, read ᐅ TSN.ua (news 1+1)

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Новая газета. Европа broke the news on Tuesday, August 25, 2026.
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