Bitcoin's Growing US Stocks Correlation Triggers 50% BTC Price Crash Setup

Bitcoin risks 50% drop as BTC's positive correlation with US stocks grows

Bitcoin’s 20-week rolling correlation with the S&P 500 has turned positive, a signal that has historically preceded major BTC price declines.

Rising BTC-Stock Correlation Signals 50% Downside Risk

Bitcoin faced a retreat after a brief surge tied to geopolitical jitters, slipping back in line with the broader risk-off tone that has weighed on US equities in recent sessions. The move underscores a renewed relationship between BTC and traditional markets as macro headwinds persist. As of Sunday, BTC/USD traded around $68,700, down about 5.7% for the week, while the S&P 500 finished the period down roughly 1.9%. The renewed correlation with e…

Bitcoin's Growing US Stocks Correlation Triggers 50% BTC Price Crash Setup

Bitcoin’s correlation with the S&P 500 has flipped positive, a signal that has historically preceded major BTC price crashes.

Bitcoin-S&P 500 Correlation Coefficient Signals Impending Market Crash

The Bitcoin market commenced an extended bearish phase in October 2025, after an initial flash crash triggered a 19% decline from the present all-time high at $126,000. In the subsequent months, Bitcoin would experience a steady loss combined with major drawdown moments, eventually pulling its price to a local bottom of $60,000, before entering a mid-term consolidation phase.  In the last month, Bitcoin has shown a moderate recovery with a net g…