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Bitcoin Is Flashing 8 of 12 Capitulation Signals, but Bottom's Not yet in, Says VanEck

VanEck said 8 of 12 capitulation signals are active, but historical results show such readings have not reliably marked an immediate Bitcoin bottom.

  • VanEck's Bitcoin ChainCheck reports 8 of 12 capitulation signals are currently flashing, suggesting the ongoing market correction may be nearing an end.
  • Bitcoin traded near $64,300 on Wednesday, roughly 49% below its all-time high; unlike Previous market troughs, the current environment benefits from institutional demand via spot HODL ETF inflows.
  • Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded products absorbed about $663 million over the Previous 30 days, reversing prior outflows; Daily network revenue declined 46% on the year while mining difficulty fell 18.3%.
  • Historically, when 8 to 12 indicators flashed, Bitcoin returned an average 12.8% over 90 days and 32% over 180 days; VanEck declined to specify a recovery date.
  • Bitcoin entered its 10th month of decline from the October 2025 peak in August, placing the next accumulation phase between September and November as the calendar aligns with past bear market patterns.
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BizToc broke the news on Tuesday, August 18, 2026.
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