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Bucs Host Falcons in Week 15; Tampa Bay Looks to Bounce Back in Must-Win Game

The Buccaneers hold a 63.2% win probability with superior offensive efficiency and home-field advantage over the Falcons, who have a 2-5 road record this season.

  • On Dec. 11, 2025 the Tampa Bay Buccaneers open as 5.5-point favorites with a-225 moneyline and a 44.5-point total at Raymond James Stadium, kickoff 8:15 PM EST on Prime Video.
  • Buccaneers' superior efficiency, scoring 22.7 points per game with a 50.0% red-zone TD rate, contrasts with Falcons' inconsistent offense and 2-5 road record.
  • Bijan Robinson's prop shifted to-149 on receptions line 4.5, but SportsLine Machine Learning Model projects under 4.5 and AI projection forecasts 2.8 receptions.
  • With Tampa Bay controlling its playoff destiny, DraftKings promos let new users stake $5 to receive $200 in bonus bets, and SportsLine notes successful same-game parlays can produce large payouts.
  • Their rivalry sits 32-32 all-time, Tampa Bay will wear 'Creamsicle' throwbacks, and oddsmakers set a 44.5-point total for a controlled scoring game Thursday night.
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Bias Distribution

  • 50% of the sources lean Left, 50% of the sources are Center
50% Center

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Fox Sports broke the news in United States on Thursday, December 11, 2025.
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