Bernstein sees annual prediction market volumes hitting $10 trillion by 2035 as financial assets overtake sports

Financial Contracts Could Capture 49% of Prediction Market Volume by 2035

Annual prediction-market volume could reach $10 trillion by 2035 as contracts linked to cryptocurrencies, equities and commodities take a larger share of trading, according to Bernstein.London's trading industry is coming home!The research firm now expects about $410 billion in volume during 2026, raising its April forecast by approximately 71% after activity reached an estimated $300 billion in the first eight months of the year. Bernstein proj…

Bernstein Predicts $10 Trillion Prediction Market by 2035—10X Its Original Forecast

Bernstein now projects prediction markets will handle $10 trillion a year by 2035, up from its own $1 trillion by 2030 forecast made just five months ago.

Bernstein raises prediction market forecast from $1T to $10T

Bernstein predicts that prediction markets can see $10 trillion in trading per year by 2035, rising from the expected $410 billion per year now. The prediction comes at a time when prediction market platforms are striving for dominance in the space; these include Kalshi and Polymarket. This prediction is important for these firms as they...

Bernstein: Prediction Market Volume to Hit $10T by 2035

How Could Prediction Markets Reach $10 Trillion? Annual prediction-market trading volume could rise to $10 trillion by 2035 as the industry expands beyond sports and politics into crypto, equities, commodities and other financial assets, according to a new Bernstein forecast. Analysts led by Gautam Chhugani expect industry volume to reach approximately $410 billion in 2026 before compounding at roughly 70% annually through 2035. Activity has alr…

Bernstein sees annual prediction market volumes hitting $10 trillion by 2035 as financial assets overtake sports

Bernstein projects global prediction market volume will hit $10 trillion by 2035, driven by expanding financial assets.