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B.C.’s deficit forecast up $450M to $13.8B after calculation errors on gas royalties
The revised outlook reflects $614 million in wildfire costs and a $306 million natural gas royalty error, while revenue rose $789 million.
On Monday, Finance Minister Josie Osborne released the first quarterly fiscal update, projecting a $13.8 billion deficit for 2026-27, which is $450 million higher than February's budget forecast.
Fire-Management costs of $614 million and an accounting 'calculation error' on natural gas royalties, which reduced revenues by $306 million, drove the increased expenditure.
Osborne attributed the worsening outlook to 'significant headwinds' including U.S. tariffs and Middle East conflict; real GDP growth was downgraded to 0.9 per cent with unemployment at 6.5 per cent.
The Greater Vancouver Board of Trade described the outlook as 'bleak,' while Conservative Finance Critic Gavin Dew said the province has a 'spending problem' and cannot control spending despite higher tax revenue.
Deficits are forecast for 2027/28 and 2028/29, expected to push provincial debt beyond $235 billion by 2029, signaling sustained fiscal pressure requiring difficult future decisions.