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B.C.’s deficit forecast up $450M to $13.8B after calculation errors on gas royalties

The revised outlook reflects $614 million in wildfire costs and a $306 million natural gas royalty error, while revenue rose $789 million.

  • On Monday, Finance Minister Josie Osborne released the first quarterly fiscal update, projecting a $13.8 billion deficit for 2026-27, which is $450 million higher than February's budget forecast.
  • Fire-Management costs of $614 million and an accounting 'calculation error' on natural gas royalties, which reduced revenues by $306 million, drove the increased expenditure.
  • Osborne attributed the worsening outlook to 'significant headwinds' including U.S. tariffs and Middle East conflict; real GDP growth was downgraded to 0.9 per cent with unemployment at 6.5 per cent.
  • The Greater Vancouver Board of Trade described the outlook as 'bleak,' while Conservative Finance Critic Gavin Dew said the province has a 'spending problem' and cannot control spending despite higher tax revenue.
  • Deficits are forecast for 2027/28 and 2028/29, expected to push provincial debt beyond $235 billion by 2029, signaling sustained fiscal pressure requiring difficult future decisions.
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Province of BC broke the news on Monday, September 14, 2026.
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