Bolsonaro, Lula statistically tied in simulated Brazil runoff, Atlas/Bloomberg poll shows
AtlasIntel surveyed 5,000 voters and found Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro separated by 0.2 percentage point in a simulated runoff.
- On Thursday, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro statistically tied in a potential second-round runoff, with the senator holding a narrow numerical edge over the incumbent.
- Polling data shows a shift in voter preference since late August, when Lula previously led Bolsonaro 47.1% to 42.6%, compared with earlier surveys showing 43.4% for Lula and 33.7% for Bolsonaro in first-round scenarios.
- In the first-round scenario, Lula currently leads with 43.0% of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro at 37.4%, Augusto Cury at 6.6%, and Renan Santos at 6.5%.
- If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 first round, the two frontrunners will advance to a runoff election scheduled for October 25.
- AtlasIntel surveyed 5,000 people between September 4 and 9, with the poll carrying a margin of error of 1 percentage point for the upcoming national vote.
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29 Articles
Bolsonaro Surges in Brazil Poll as Supreme Court Crisis Weighs on Lula
Flávio Bolsonaro surged into a tie with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in a new poll, erasing a 4.5-point gap as a crisis inside Brazil’s Supreme Court weighs on the leftist leader’s reelection bid.
Search AtlasIntel/Bloomberg, released today, shows President Lula (PT) stable in the lead of the first round in the electoral race for the Palace of the Planalto, with 43% of voting intentions. On high, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) appears in the sec
Bolsonaro, Lula statistically tied in simulated Brazil runoff, Atlas ...
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Cyprus MailBolsonaro, Lula statistically tied in simulated Brazil runoff, Atlas/Bloomberg poll shows
Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva are statistically tied in a simulated runoff ahead of next month's election, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed on Thursday,... -September 10, 2026 at 01:50 pm EDT MarketScreener
The senator appears numerically in front of the president in new uprising
Search AtlasIntel/Bloomberg released on Thursday (10) points to a technical tie between Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) in a possible second round of the presidential election of 2026. Although they are tied within the margin of error, Flávio appears numerically in front of the petist. According to the survey, Flávio Bolsonaro has [...]
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