Australia's central bank chief warns inflation risks materialising
Governor Michele Bullock said the board may need to tighten policy again as oil prices, AI investment and firm cost pass-through keep inflation elevated.
- On Friday, September 18, at the House of Representatives, Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock warned that upside inflation risks—the Middle East conflict, an AI investment boom, and extreme weather—are materialising.
- Persistent Middle East instability continues inflating energy prices, while a global AI boom drives labour demand and technology costs, complicating the path to the 2%-3% target.
- Financial markets price in a 90% probability the RBA will lift the current 4.35% cash rate by 0.25 percentage points at the September 28–29 board meeting.
- Following Bullock's testimony, Commonwealth Bank, Westpac, and ANZ Bank revised forecasts to expect an immediate rate hike, with several warning of further increases before year-end.
- Economists at UBS project the cash rate could peak at 4.85% by early 2027, as the RBA board attempts to balance inflation control without stalling economic growth.
42 Articles
42 Articles
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Reserve Bank’s blunt warning just days before next interest rates decision
Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock said inflation in Australia was “too high” as she prepares to consider lifting interest rates for the fourth time this year.
Australia's central bank chief warns inflation risks materialising
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