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Analysis:Toyota and Honda may get stuck with the bill for Trump’s Canada tariffs

Analysts say the levy could force the two automakers to close some Canadian assembly lines and raise costs on more than three-quarters of cars built there.

  • On August 31, President Donald Trump proposed a 50 per cent tariff on Canadian car imports, targeting Ottawa with levies that would double current rates. Toyota and Honda face the largest potential impact, accounting for over three-quarters of all cars produced in Canada.
  • Both automakers rely heavily on Canadian assembly lines to serve the U.S. market, their largest and most profitable region. Canadian-built vehicles account for 17 per cent of Toyota's U.S. sales and nearly a quarter of Honda's, making them critically dependent on cross-border supply chains.
  • If the tariffs take effect January 1, 2027, analysts warn of severe consequences. "If you really wanted to destroy the Canadian auto industry, you could with these tariffs," said Julie Boote, autos analyst at Pelham Smithers Associates in London.
  • Both companies may be forced to shutter Canadian production lines or redirect exports to other markets to maintain U.S. supply. For Honda, already struggling to return to profitability, these tariffs compound existing operational strain.
  • These proposed levies exemplify Trump's broader trade policies that have left the global auto industry scrambling to adapt. Uncertainty surrounding the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement continues complicating long-term investment decisions for automakers across North America.
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  • 57% of the sources lean Right
57% Right

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WTVB broke the news on Sunday, August 30, 2026.
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