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Analysis:Global rate-hike cycle in view as central banks take on inflation

Updated forecasts show 16 of 18 policymakers expect at least one more quarter-point increase this year as energy costs keep inflation elevated.

  • On Friday, the Bank of Japan joined the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank in tightening policy, signaling further rate hikes to combat inflation driven by rising energy costs.
  • Escalating conflict in the Middle East and Houthi threats in the Red Sea have pushed energy prices higher, forcing central banks to pivot from previous easing expectations.
  • Federal Reserve chief Kevin Warsh raised rates Wednesday, noting he would be "hard-pressed to describe broad financial conditions as restrictive," while the Bank of England held rates Thursday but signaled potential future increases.
  • "The expectation now is that energy prices will stay elevated for longer," ECB Vice President Boris Vujcic told Reuters on Friday, as BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda declared, "Our policy phase has changed."
  • Financial markets now price in nearly four quarter-point hikes over the next year, while JPMorgan analyst Greg Fuzesi warned that a "hike above 3 per cent cannot be ruled out entirely" depending on Middle East events.
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Frankfurt. The possibility of a new global cycle of interest rate increases is glimpsed as some of the world’s major central banks raise their respective revenues and suggest that further increases may be needed to curb inflation driven by the U.S. and Israel’s war against Iran.

·Mexico
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ReutersReuters
+4 Reposted by 4 other sources
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Global rate-hike cycle in view as central banks take on inflation

The prospect of a new global interest rate-tightening cycle is coming into view as some of the world's top central banks raise rates ​and signal more may be needed to tame inflation fuelled by the Iran war.

·London, United Kingdom
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PressNewsAgency broke the news on Friday, September 18, 2026.
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