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Ageing Germany set to get smaller and older, says stats office

By 2038, 27% of Germany's population will be of pension age, straining welfare systems amid low birth rates and limited immigration scenarios, the statistics office said.

  • On Dec 11, Germany's Federal Statistical Office in Berlin said the country's population could shrink to around 75 million by 2070, a decline of nearly 10 million.
  • Demographic trends show Germany's Federal Statistical Office projects decline as the baby boomer generation ages and only two of 27 scenarios predict growth with high immigration and rising birth rates.
  • By 2038 the office forecasts almost 21 million people, or 27% of the population, will be pensioners, and the ratio could rise from 33 to 61 pensioners per 100 workers by 2070.
  • Pressure is mounting on the welfare system as businesses in the European Union's most populous country report unprecedented labour shortages and politicians grapple with a populist backlash boosting the nativist Alternative for Germany.
  • Only two of 27 scenarios show growth under high immigration and rising birth rates, and Karsten Lammer warned `There would then be less than two contributors per pension benefits recipient`.
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Ageing Germany set to get smaller and older, says stats office

Ageing Germany's population could shrink by almost 10 million people, to around 75 million, by 2070 as the baby boomer generation gives way to much smaller cohorts, the statistics office said.

·United Kingdom
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According to new calculations, the population will decline by 2070 more than previously assumed. Today, around 83.6 million inhabitants still live in Germany.

·Frankfurt, Germany
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The Federal Statistical Office predicts a sharp increase in the proportion of the elderly and a decrease in the population and the able-bodied group by 2070

·Kyiv, Ukraine
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As of 2070, the Federal Statistical Office assumes a population of almost 75 million people in Germany. In addition, the proportion of pensioners is expected to increase, while the proportion of adults working on the web is expected to fall.

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Frankfurter Allgemeine broke the news in Frankfurt, Germany on Thursday, December 11, 2025.
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