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Fed Chair Warsh signals rate hikes may be needed with inflation still elevated

Warsh said the Fed may need higher rates as recent inflation readings still show price growth above the central bank’s 2% target.

  • On Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh signaled the Fed has "more work to do" on inflation during his keynote speech at the Jackson Hole economic symposium in Wyoming.
  • Traders increased bets on a September rate hike following Warsh's remarks, reversing prior market consensus that favored maintaining the status quo with nearly 70% odds before the speech.
  • FedWatch data now shows a nearly 56% chance of a quarter-point hike in September, while Polymarket and Kalshi speculators indicate 49% and 48% odds, respectively.
  • Short-Term yields rose sharply, with the 2-year Treasury yield hitting its highest level since late July as investors reacted to the central bank's firm inflation stance.
  • The Federal Open Market Committee will determine interest rate policy on Sept. 16, with Warsh cautioning that recent inflation data does not yet suggest "meaningfully improved" underlying trends.
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Politico broke the news in Arlington County, United States on Friday, August 28, 2026.
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